Alabama at Mississippi State

#7 Alabama ALA 4-0 –
Kickoff ABC
#16 Mississippi State MSST 4-0 –
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS Box score

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Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0, 2-0 in conference) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0, 2-0 in conference)​

Conference game

KickoffOct 3, 2026 5:00 PM
VenueDavis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS · grass
TelevisionABC
Weather81°F · partly cloudy · 40% chance of rain · gusts to 8 mph

The two sides​

ALAMSST
Record4-04-0
In conference2-02-0
Power index#6#20
Offence#4#8
Defence#9#31
Special teams#37#105

How they got here​

Alabama Crimson Tide
  • W 49-18 vs South Carolina Gamecocks Sep 27, 2026
  • W 50-36 vs Florida State Seminoles Sep 19, 2026
  • W 45-17 at Kentucky Wildcats Sep 12, 2026
  • W 48-10 vs East Carolina Pirates Sep 5, 2026
  • L 38-3 vs #1 Indiana Hoosiers Jan 1, 2026
Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • W 31-24 vs #19 Missouri Tigers Sep 27, 2026
  • W 41-34 at South Carolina Gamecocks Sep 19, 2026
  • W 38-13 at Minnesota Golden Gophers Sep 12, 2026
  • W 62-13 vs UL Monroe Warhawks Sep 6, 2026
  • L 43-29 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Jan 3, 2026

The series​

They have met 3 times in recent seasons — Alabama 3, Mississippi State 0.
  • Alabama 40-17 Mississippi State (on the road) Oct 1, 2023
  • Alabama 30-6 Mississippi State Oct 23, 2022
  • Alabama 49-9 Mississippi State (on the road) Oct 17, 2021

In the table​

OverallConf.
Alabama4-02-0
Florida4-02-0
Georgia4-02-0
Mississippi State4-02-0
Texas4-01-0
Ole Miss3-11-1
Auburn3-11-1
Kentucky3-11-1
LSU3-11-1
Missouri3-10-1
Tennessee3-10-1
Vanderbilt3-10-1
Arkansas2-20-1
Oklahoma2-20-1
South Carolina2-20-2
Texas A&M2-20-2

What the market thinks​

SpreadALA -6
Over / under59.5
MoneylineALA -225 · MSST +185
Win probabilityALA 74% · MSST 26%
Odds from DraftKings. Shown because they are the clearest summary of what the game is expected to be, not as a tip.

Worth watching​

Season totals so far.
Alabama Crimson Tide
  • Keelon Russell (QB) — 78/110, 1,129 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT
  • Daniel Hill (RB) — 46 CAR, 225 YDS, 4 TD
  • Ryan Coleman-Williams (WR) — 17 REC, 333 YDS, 3 TD
Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Kamario Taylor (QB) — 83/120, 1,192 YDS, 14 TD, 2 INT
  • Fluff Bothwell (RB) — 73 CAR, 402 YDS, 3 TD
  • Anthony Evans III (WR) — 28 REC, 408 YDS, 3 TD

What it's worth​

Alabama Crimson Tide73% to make the playoff · 18% to win the conference
Mississippi State Bulldogs24% to make the playoff · 1% to win the conference


This post is assembled automatically and updated until kickoff, so the forecast and the line stay current. A recap is posted when the game ends.
 
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